Doing the maths

Doing the maths

Joined: 17 Oct 2013, 20:44

15 Sep 2016, 19:43 #1

I've started a new thread for a topic that has been touched on elsewhere. Now the points situation is known, going into the final round of matches, what are the implications, at both ends of the table?

1. TOP Middlesex 213, Yorks 204, Somerset 203
Ignoring such impossibilities as Middlesex winning but getting no bonus points...

M win - it's their title

Y win - overtake M, but S can take title by winning (against relegated Notts) with just ONE more point than Y.

M and Y draw - S can take the title by winning but need at least to match M's bonus points in the game.

2. MIDDLE (4th and 5th)
Durham need 4 points from their final match to overtake Surrey, who have finished.

3. BOTTOM Lancs 162 play at Warwicks 156, Hants 148 play safe Durham, Notts 121 relegated.

This is horribly complex, but H need to win to survive OR they could just escape with a big bonus-point draw if W are heavily defeated by L.

L are vulnerable, but only if they lose and H win, (or a draw in which W get 7 more points than they do, which is almost impossible, frankly.)

I think that has covered it.

Bowlers win matches
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Joined: 11 Apr 2014, 07:14

15 Sep 2016, 20:56 #2

Brilliant, thank you. The bottom is every bit as interesting as the top, I can see Hampshire beating a Durham team who are now safe and have nothing to play for this will make the lancs game very interesting if it happens
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Joined: 13 Sep 2014, 19:41

15 Sep 2016, 21:17 #3

who would have thought four day cricket could be so exciting
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Joined: 03 Sep 2014, 13:34

15 Sep 2016, 23:08 #4

I guess that by late Wednesday, Thursday am at the latest, we are likely to know the bonus point situation, and be able to whittle down Dave's possibilities a bit more.

In particular, we'll know if winning our match will win us the title, or if winning won't necessarily be quite enough -- i.e. the title requires us to win, but also depends on whether Somerset win or not.

I don't know about exciting, ECE, it makes my head hurt. There are enough twists and turns in the average 4-day game to make it exciting. This points-based ballet is excruciating, more like.
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Joined: 13 Jan 2015, 19:59

16 Sep 2016, 08:18 #5

Points deductions for slow over rates have to be brought into this excellent equation.
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Joined: 14 Apr 2015, 09:15

16 Sep 2016, 08:23 #6


Petersen misses Lancs' last match.
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Joined: 28 Apr 2014, 00:12

16 Sep 2016, 09:19 #7

At what stage do we need to take away the number we first thought of?
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Joined: 18 Oct 2013, 20:29

16 Sep 2016, 10:37 #8

Morton/Vordeman- a striking resemblance I've always thought.
Thank you.That clarifies a situation for me that i would never have had the patience to work out for myself.
Much obliged.
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Joined: 16 Apr 2008, 15:44

16 Sep 2016, 10:43 #9

I prefer more simplistic terms, we have to win and if we do we'll more than likely be champions
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Joined: 10 Feb 2014, 19:23

16 Sep 2016, 11:33 #10

But not if Somerset win with 1 more bonus point than us, hence Dave's excellent analysis spelling out the exact position as it stands now.

I'd rather be certain than 'likely'
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