2017 Predictions

2017 Predictions

Joined: 10 Dec 2006, 01:35

02 Apr 2017, 14:30 #1

FiveThirtyEight's.

They use something called Elo as described here.

I'm not convinced it works as well for baseball as for other sports, because the margin of victory doesn't always mean as much. But they do account for things that probably do (starting pitcher, travel schedule for example), and their predictions aren't a whole lot different from some others I've seen.

The Sox winning the AL East is a consensus, which of course worries me. :raspberry: :weg: :happy:
""Baseball, it is said, is only a game. True. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole in Arizona." widely attributed.
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Joined: 20 Mar 2007, 20:55

03 Apr 2017, 07:39 #2

I don't know, anything that rates Pedro Martinez #1 by a wide margin seems to me like it's probably a pretty good system. :thumbup:
Check it out. An avatar.
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Fine.
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Joined: 10 Dec 2006, 01:35

03 Apr 2017, 12:24 #3

rominer @ Apr 3 2017, 02:39 AM wrote: I don't know, anything that rates Pedro Martinez #1 by a wide margin seems to me like it's probably a pretty good system. :thumbup:
Can't argue with that. I'm curious to see how it compares with other systems this season.
""Baseball, it is said, is only a game. True. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole in Arizona." widely attributed.
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