Softball: 2012 OAA Alpha-Omega Rankings

tsnet
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tsnet
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April 15th, 2012, 11:24 pm #1

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #1 (2012.04.15)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 48 total games (22 of 25 teams eligible).
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Seaholm (4-0), 625 Wilson Rating.
» TOP OAA RED TEAM: #2-Lake Orion (4-4), 619.76990.
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #3-Rochester (2-2), 619.76987.
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #6-Hazel Park (2-0), 527.
» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #7-Ferndale (0-2), 525
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Southfield-Lathrup (0-4), 320
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1 #Birm Seaholm       4  0  625
  2  Lake Orion         4  4  619.76990
    *Rochester          2  2  619.76987
  4  Clarkston          2  0  606.30031
     Troy               2  0  606.30031
  6 #Hazel Park         2  0  527
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at

###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (7 Intra-OAA games with 1 tie)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: {insufficient data this week}
» Average Margin of Victory: 10.167 runs (first report)
» Standard Deviation: 4.931 runs (first report)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 5.235 15.098 runs (6-15 runs)
0.01% relative error (currently using 4.931... as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Standard Disclaimers: Information is based on all known/confirmed scores as of this compilation.
For entertainment purposes only; all offers are not valid on days ending in 'Y'; etc.
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2012, 5:32 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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tsnet
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April 22nd, 2012, 7:35 pm #2

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #2 (2012.04.22)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 91 total games (23 of 25 teams eligible).
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Clarkston (5-1), 741 Wilson Rating.
» TOP OAA RED TEAM: #1-Clarkston (5-1), 741.
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #8-W. Bloomfield (3-2), 559.
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #4-Seaholm (6-0), 583.
» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #18-Ferndale (1-3), 430
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Southfield (0-4), 274
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Clarkston          5  1  741
  2  N Farmington       4  0  665
  3  Troy               4  2  652
  4 #Birm Seaholm       6  0  583
  5  Oxford             5  4  566
  6  Lake Orion         6  6  560
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at

###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (51 Intra-OAA games with no ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Royal Oak 18, Andover 7 (47.1% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 8.706 (-1.461 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 5.697 runs (+0.766 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 3.009 14.403 runs (4-14 runs)
0.006% relative error (currently using 5.697 as the assumed standard deviation)
Standard disclaimers apply.
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2012, 5:33 pm, edited 7 times in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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tsnet
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April 29th, 2012, 8:00 pm #3

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #3 (2012.04.29)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 149 total games (all teams eligible).
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Clarkston (8-1), 773 Wilson Rating. {also top OAA Red Team}
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #5-Troy Athens (10-3), 607.
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #4-Seaholm (8-0), 619.
» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #17-Lahser (4-4), 385.
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Park (0-4), 137.
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Clarkston          8  1  773
  2  N Farmington       4  2  688
  3  Troy               8  2  674
  4 #Birm Seaholm       8  0  619
  5 *Troy Athens       10  3  607
  6  Lake Orion         9  7  585
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at

###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (90 Intra-OAA games with no ties)
» Top Team: Clarkston (6-0 Intra-OAA, 7.45 LOGIT)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Royal Oak 18, Andover 7 (52.6% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 9.011 runs (+0.305 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 6.297 runs (+0.600 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 2.714 15.308 runs (3-15 runs)
0.001% relative error (currently using 6.2969485 as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2012, 7:28 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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tsnet
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May 6th, 2012, 9:46 pm #4

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #4 (2012.05.06)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 189 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating) / Top OAA Red Team: Clarkston (15-2), 715 Wilson Rating.
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #5-Troy Athens (14-4), 601.
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #6-Seaholm (8-0), 591.
» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #17-Andover (7-7), 383.
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Park (0-4), 153
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Clarkston         15  2  715
  2  Troy              10  2  678
  3  N Farmington       7  4  641
  4  Lake Orion        12  9  615
  5 *Troy Athens       14  4  601
  6 #Seaholm            8  0  591
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at

Division Ratings: Red (620), White (541), Non-OAA (528), Blue (432), Gold (254).
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (111 Intra-OAA games with no ties)
» Top Intra-OAA Team: Troy (9-2 Record, 6.33 LOGIT)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Adams 8, Rochester 1 (57.3% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 8.613 runs (-0.398 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 6.255 runs (-0.042 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 2.357 14.868 runs (3-14 runs)
0.007% relative error (currently using 6.2554284 as the assumed standard deviation)
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2012, 7:29 pm, edited 4 times in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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tsnet
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May 15th, 2012, 4:05 pm #5

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #5 (2012.05.13)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 222 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating) / Top OAA Red Team: Clarkston (15-2), 720 Wilson Rating.
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #5 Troy Athens (20-5), 601.
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #8-Seaholm (10-0), 569.
» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #17-Andover (7-7), 393.
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Oark (0-4), 112.
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Clarkston         15  2  720
  2  Troy              12  2  685
  3  N Farmington       9  4  658
  4  Lake Orion        15 13  605
  5 *Troy Athens       20  5  601
  6 *Rochester         13  4  586
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at

Divisional Ratings: Red 625, White 543, Non-OAA 526, Blue 426, Gold 245.
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (130 Intra-OAA games with no ties)
» Top Team: Troy (11-2 Intra-OAA; 6.00 LOGIT)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Adams 8, Rochester 1 (63.0% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 8.708 runs (+0.095 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 6.196 runs (-0.059 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 2.511 14.904 runs (3-14 runs)
0.005% relative error (currently using 6.1963307 as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2012, 7:30 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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tsnet
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May 21st, 2012, 1:15 am #6

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #6 (2012.05.20)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 284 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating) / Top OAA Red Team: Clarkston (19-3), 704 Wilson Rating.
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #4 Troy Athens (22-5), 603.
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #10-Seaholm (10-2), 531.
» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #16-Andover (16-10), 405.
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Park (0-5), 138.
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Clarkston         19  3  704
  2  Troy              13  3  657
  3  N Farmington      11  5  650
  4 *Athens-Troy       22  5  603
  5  Lake Orion        17 15  601
  6 *Groves            19  6  590
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at

Divisional Ratings: Red 617, White 538, Non-OAA 522, Blue 425, Gold 264.
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (171 Intra-OAA games with no ties)
Note: Switched to standard Rothman Formula
» Top Team: Clarkston (11-1 Intra-OAA; 10.81 LOGIT)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Adams 8, Rochester 1 (74.5% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 8.427 runs (-0.280 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 6.073 runs (-0.123 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 2.354 14.500 runs (3-14 runs)
0.0001% relative error (currently assuming 6.073005 as the actual standard deviation)
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2012, 7:31 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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May 28th, 2012, 2:34 pm #7

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #7 (2012.05.27 - Final Regular Season)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 222 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating) / Top OAA Red Team: Clarkston (19-3), 701 Wilson Rating.
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #4 Troy Athens (26-6), 607.
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #12-Seaholm (10-4), 481. 
» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #17-Andover (18-12), 393.
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Oark (0-7), 146.
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Clarkston         19  3  701
  2  Troy              20  5  650
  3  N Farmington      14  5  649
  4 *Athens-Troy       26  6  607
  5  Lake Orion        19 15  599
  6 *Groves            19  8  584
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at

Divisional Ratings: Red 614, White 540, Non-OAA 521, Blue 413, Gold 258.
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (199 Intra-OAA games with no ties)
» Top Team: Clarkston (11-1 Intra-OAA; 11.06 LOGIT)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Royal Oak 18, Andover 7 (63.5% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 8.598 runs (+0.171 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 5.942 runs (-0.131 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 2.656 14.540 runs (3-14 runs)
0.984% relative error (currently using 6 as the estimated standard deviation)
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2012, 7:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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tsnet
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July 4th, 2012, 7:43 pm #8

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Final 2012 Report
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 421 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating) / Top OAA Red Team: Clarkston (36-6), 677 Wilson Rating.
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #4 Troy Athens (31-8), 612.
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #12 Harrison-FH (17-11), 480. 
» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #17-Andover (19-17), 376.
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Oark (0-8), 126.
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Clarkston         36  6  677
  2  N Farmington      15  6  631
  3  Troy              24  7  615
  4 *Athens-Troy       31  8  612
  5  Lake Orion        20 16  585
  6 *Rochester         26 11  579
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at

Divisional Ratings: Red 592, White 536, Non-OAA 519, Blue 414, Gold 240.
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (231 Intra-OAA games with no ties)
» Top Team: Clarkston (17-1 Intra-OAA; 11.51 LOGIT)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Lake Orion 3, Clarkston 0 (64.7% unlikely / May 2)
» Average Margin of Victory: 8.649 runs (+0.051 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 5.902 runs (-0.040 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 2.748 14.551 runs (3-14 runs)
1.668% relative error (currently using 6 as the estimated standard deviation)
###
Intra-OAA Historical Averages (from FACT Ratings):
Year Margin Std Dev
2010 6.70 4.87
2011 7.89 5.33
2012 8.649 5.902
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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