Boys Soccer: 2011 OAA Alpha-Omega rankings

tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

September 5th, 2011, 11:56 pm #1

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking Report #1 - 2011.09.05
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 76 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Troy (5-0-0), 795 Wilson Rating
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #4-Berkley (2-1-0), 619.7
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #9-Farmington Hills Harrison (1-0-0), 522

» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Hazel Park (0-3-0), 177


» FORMIDABLE FIVE (top 5 teams):
                        W  L  T
                        -  -  -
  1  Troy               5  0  0  795
  2  Troy Athens        2  2  0  708
  3  RHills Stoney Crk  3  3  2  620.0
  4  Berkley            2  1  0  619.7
  5  Clarkston          6  2  0  618.8
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
OAA Division Rankings: Red (606), Non-OAA (520), OAA White (457), OAA Blue (326)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (26 Intra-OAA games with 4 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: West Bloomfield 2, Seaholm 1 (26.4% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 2.58 goals
» Standard Deviation: 2.32
» Average 1 Standard Deviation: 0.26 4.90 goals (1-4 goals)
9.48% relative error (currently using 2.1 as the assumed standard deviation; this may change for next week)
-
Standard Disclaimers: Information is based on all known scores as of this compilation.
For entertainment purposes only; all offers are not valid on days ending in 'Y'; etc.
Last edited by tsnet on September 11th, 2011, 9:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

September 11th, 2011, 9:27 pm #2

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking Report #2 - 2011.09.11
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 98 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Troy (7-0-0), 751 Wilson Rating
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #6-Berkley (3-1-0), 545
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #8-Birmingham Seaholm (4-2-0), 511

» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Hazel Park (0-5-0), 305


» FORMIDABLE FIVE (top 5 teams):
                        W  L  T
                        -  -  -
  1  Troy               7  0  0  751
  2  Troy Athens        2  3  1  659
  3  Rochester Adams    4  2  1  587
  4  Clarkston          7  3  0  578
  5  RHills Stoney Crk  3  4  3  569
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
OAA Division Rankings: Red (566), Non-OAA (509), OAA White (457), OAA Blue (420)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (46 Intra-OAA games with 5 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Groves 2, Farmington 1 (44.9% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 2.7391 goals
» Standard Deviation: 2.5072
» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 0.23 5.25 goals (1-5 goals)
0.008% relative error (currently using 2.507 as the assumed standard deviation; I can now generically pass in each week's standard deviation for a much lower relative error.)
###
Weekly Missing Scores:
  • 2011-09-08, 6:45pm, North Farmington, at, Royal Oak, (OAA White)
  • 2011-09-09, 7:00pm, Utica Ford II, at, Rochester
  • 2011-09-10, TBA, Ferndale, at, Detroit U-D Jesuit
Last edited by tsnet on October 11th, 2011, 2:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

September 19th, 2011, 1:33 am #3

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking Report #3 - 2011.09.18
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 121 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Troy (9-1-0), 649 Wilson Rating
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #6-Farmington (5-1-3), 530
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #7-Birmingham Seaholm (7-2-0), 519

» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Hazel Park (0-7-0), 316


» FORMIDABLE FIVE (top 5 teams):
                        W  L  T
                        -  -  -
  1  Troy               9  1  0  649
  2  Rochester Adams    5  2  1  621
  3  Troy Athens        2  3  1  608
  4  Clarkston          7  3  0  565
  5  RHills Stoney Crk  4  4  3  556
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
OAA Division Rankings: Red (546), Non-OAA (504), OAA White (457), OAA Blue (420)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (46 Intra-OAA games with 5 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Groves 2, Farmington 1 (55.1% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 2.6212 goals (-0.1179 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 2.5526 (+0.0454)
» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 0.07 5.17 goals (1-5 goals)
0.02%
relative error (currently using 2.553 as the assumed standard
deviation).
Last edited by tsnet on September 19th, 2011, 1:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

October 11th, 2011, 2:06 am #4

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking Report #6 - 2011.10.10
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 210 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Troy (12-2-0), 603 Wilson Rating
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #4-Farmington (8-2-3), 551
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #5-West Bloomfield (12-3-3), 542

» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Hazel Park (0-13-0), 319


» FORMIDABLE FIVE (top 5 teams):
                        W  L  T
                        -  -  -
  1  Troy              12  2  0  603
  2  Troy Athens        9  3  1  602
  3  Rochester Adams    8  4  3  558
  4 *Farmington         8  2  3  551
  5 #W Bloomfield      12  3  3  542
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
OAA Division Rankings: Red (529), OAA White (505), Non-OAA (500), OAA Blue (458)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (119 Intra-OAA games with 19 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Groves 2, Farmington 1 (58.6% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 2.479 goals (-0.1422 from last report)
» Standard Deviation: 2.4141 (-0.1385)
» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 0.0649 4.8931 goals (1-4 goals)
0.02%
relative error (currently using 2.414 as the assumed standard
deviation).
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

October 17th, 2011, 4:24 pm #5

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking Report #7 - 2011.10.15 (Final Regular Season Ranking)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 228 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Troy Athens (11-3-1), 608 Wilson Rating
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #4-Farmington (8-2-3), 544
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #5-Birmingham Seaholm (10-3-3), 537

» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Hazel Park (0-14-0), 346


» FORMIDABLE FIVE (top 5 teams):
                        W  L  T
                        -  -  -
  1  Troy Athens       11  3  1  608
  2  Troy              12  2  0  606
  3  Rochester Adams    8  5  3  560
  4 *Farmington         8  2  3  544
  5 #Birm Seaholm      10  3  3  537
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
OAA Division Rankings: Red (532), Non-OAA (499), OAA White (498), OAA Blue (471)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (130 Intra-OAA games with 19 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Pontiac 3, West Bloomfield 2 (76.8% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 2.462 goals (-0.017 from last report)
» Standard Deviation: 2.370 (-0.044)
» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 0.092 4.831 goals (1-4 goals)
1.86%
relative error (currently using 2.414 as the assumed standard
deviation).
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

December 2nd, 2011, 12:13 am #6

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Final 2011 Report
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 228 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Troy Athens (15-4-1), 679 Wilson Rating
» TOP OAA WHITE TEAM: #4-Avondale (18-5-2), 564 -- MHSAA Div. 2 Champions
» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #7-Birmingham Seaholm (13-4-3), 536

» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Hazel Park (0-17-0), 323


» FORMIDABLE FIVE (top 5 teams):
                        W  L  T
                        -  -  -
  1  Troy Athens       15  4  1  679
  2  Troy              17  3  0  662
  3  Rochester Adams    8  6  3  578
  4 *AHills Avondale   18  5  2  564 [MHSAA Div 2 Champs]
  5 *Farmington        12  3  3  553
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
OAA Division Rankings: Red (557), OAA White (511), Non-OAA (497), OAA Blue (454)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (143 Intra-OAA games with 19 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Pontiac 3, West Bloomfield 2 (79.6% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 2.539 goals (+0.077 from last report)
» Standard Deviation: 2.382 (+0.012)
» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 0.157 4.920 goals (1-4 goals)
0.01%
relative error (currently using 2.3818 as the assumed standard
deviation).
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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