Baseball: 2013 OAA Alpha-Omega Ratings

tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

April 14th, 2013, 5:27 pm #1

Report Date: April 14.
OAA Teams ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 39 total games. (16 of 25 teams eligible)
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Harrison-FH (1-0-0), 719 rating.» TOP OAA RED TEAM: #7-Adams (1-1-0), 544» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #6-Royal Oak (4-0-0), 548» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #12-Southfield (0-2-1), 458» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Avondale (1-4-0), 327» Home Team Advantage: +2.4 runs
» Spectacular Six (top 6 teams):
  1 *Harrison-FH        1  0  0  719  2 *Groves             3  4  0  619  3 *N Farmington       1  0  0  603  4 *W Bloomfield       1  0  0  572  5  Lake Orion         3  1  0  549  6 #Royal Oak          4  0  0  548OAA Division Rankings: White (581), Red (564), Non-OAA (475), Blue (467), Gold (460)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (13 Intra-OAA games with 1 tie)
» Top Team: Harrison-FH (1-0 Intra-OAA; 10.35 Logit).
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: [insufficient data this week]» Average Margin of Victory: 5.308 runs» Standard Deviation: 3.497» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 1.810 8.805 runs (2-8 runs)
0.08%
relative error (currently using 3.5 as the assumed standard
deviation).
###
Standard Disclaimers: Information is based on all known/confirmed scores as of this compilation.
For entertainment purposes only; all offers are not valid on days ending in 'Y'; etc.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

April 21st, 2013, 12:20 am #2

Report Date: April 20.
OAA Teams ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 55 total games. (23 of 25 teams eligible)
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): W Bloomfield (2-0-0), 822.81106 rating.» TOP OAA RED TEAM: #7-Adams (3-1-0), 603» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #8-Royal Oak (5-0-0), 543» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #14-Southfield (0-2-1), 457» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Hazel Park (0-1-0), 214» Home Team Advantage: +1.48 runs
» Spectacular Six (top 6 teams):
  1 *W Bloomfield       2  0  0  822.81106    *N Farmington       1  0  0  822.81073  3 *Harrison-FH        2  0  0  722.81112    *Seaholm            1  2  0  722.81108    *Farmington         0  2  0  722.81074  6 *Groves             3  5  0  623OAA Division Rankings: White (739), Red (525), Non-OAA (492), Blue (394), Gold (382)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (13 Intra-OAA games with 1 tie)
» Top Team: N Farmington (1-0 Intra-OAA; 19.55 Logit).
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Stoney Creek 10, Rochester 0 (36.0% unlikely)» Average Margin of Victory: 5.536 runs (+0.228 from last week)» Standard Deviation: 3.294 (-0.203 from last week)» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 2.242 8.830 runs (3-8 runs)
1.34%
relative error (currently using 3.25 as the assumed standard
deviation).
###
Standard Disclaimers: Information is based on all known/confirmed scores as of this compilation.
For entertainment purposes only; all offers are not valid on days ending in 'Y'; etc.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

April 27th, 2013, 11:20 pm #3

Report Date: April 27.
OAA Teams ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 93 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): W Bloomfield (4-0-0), 726 rating.» TOP OAA RED TEAM: #7-Clarkston (2-1-0), 551» TOP OAA BLUE TEAM: #5-Berkley (5-1-0), 582» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #20-Southfield (1-2-1), 448» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Hazel Park & Oak Park (0-1-0), 186» Home Team Advantage: +0.87 runs
» Spectacular Six (top 6 teams):
  1 *W Bloomfield       4  0  0  726  2 *N Farmington       3  1  0  629.3    *Harrison-FH        3  2  0  628.7  4 *Farmington         1  2  0  627.9  5 #Berkley            5  1  0  582  6 #Royal Oak          6  1  0  577OAA Division Rankings: White (611), Blue (531), Red (521), Non-OAA (506), Gold (307)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (56 Intra-OAA games with 1 tie)
» Top Team: W Bloomfield (3-0 Intra-OAA; 6.52 Logit).
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Lahser 9, Royal Oak 6 (73.5% unlikely)» Average Margin of Victory: 5.250 runs (-0.286 from last week)» Standard Deviation: 3.517 (+0.223 from last week)» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 1.733 8.767 runs (2-8 runs)
0.48%
relative error (currently using 3.5 as the assumed standard
deviation).
###
Standard Disclaimers apply.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

May 6th, 2013, 4:24 pm #4

Report Date: May 4.
OAA Teams ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 130 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Athens-Troy (2-1-0), 579 rating.» TOP OAA RED TEAM: #2-Clarkston (5-3-0), 576.8» Top OAA White Team: #5-W Bloomfield (8-2-0), 574» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #20-Sfld Lathrup (3-5-1), 447» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Park (0-4-0), 195» Home Team Advantage: +0.95 runs
» Spectacular Six (top 6 teams):
  1 #Athens-Troy        2  1  0  579  2  Clarkston          5  3  0  576.76913    #Berkley            7  3  0  576.68896  4  Lake Orion        11  3  0  576  5 *W Bloomfield       8  2  0  574  6 #Royal Oak          7  3  0  567OAA Division Rankings: Blue (551), Red (534), White (534), Non-OAA (508), Gold (336)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (87 Intra-OAA games with 1 tie)
» Top Team: Lake Orion (6-2 Intra-OAA; 1.19 Logit).
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Groves 18, Stoney Creek 9 (76.4% unlikely)» Average Margin of Victory: 5.080 runs (-0.170 from last week)» Standard Deviation: 3.951 (+0.434 from last week)» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 1.129 9.031 runs (2-9 runs)
1.24%
relative error (currently using 4 as the assumed standard
deviation).
###
Standard Disclaimers apply.
Last edited by tsnet on May 6th, 2013, 4:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

May 14th, 2013, 12:35 am #5

Report Date: May 9.
OAA Teams ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 185 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Lake Orion (15-4-0), 588 rating.» Top OAA White Team: #3-N Farmington (14-3-0), 572» Top OAA Blue Team: #8-Royal Oak (7-3-0), 540» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #19-Southfield (5-4-1), 490» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Park (0-5-0), 304» Home Team Advantage: -0.92 runs
» Spectacular Six (top 6 teams):
                        W  L  T                        -  -  -  1  Lake Orion        15  4  0  588  2  Clarkston          7  5  0  578  3 *N Farmington      14  3  0  572  4  Adams              9  6  0  569  5 *W Bloomfield      10  3  0  568  6  Stoney Creek      13  8  1  550OAA Division Rankings: Red (557), White (525), Blue (525), Non-OAA (494), Gold (425)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (127 Intra-OAA games with 1 tie)
» Top Team: Lake Orion (8-3 Intra-OAA; 0.83 Logit).
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Groves 18, Stoney Creek 9 (76.5% unlikely)» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 0.943 9.105 runs (1-9 runs)

Baseball TW LW Diff
Margin of Victory 5.024 5.080 -0.056
Std Deviation 4.081 3.951 0.130
mov + sd 9.105 9.031 0.074
mov - sd 0.943 1.129 -0.186
Est SD 4.125 4.000 0.125
%err 1.08% 1.24%
###
Standard Disclaimers apply.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

May 19th, 2013, 4:16 pm #6

Report Date: May 17.
OAA Teams ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 239 total games.
» Alpha Team (best rating): N. Farmington (16-3-0), 594 rating.» Top OAA Red Team: #2-Lake Orion (17-6-0), 590» Top OAA Blue Team: #6-Royal Oak (10-3-0), 558.5» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #19-Sfld Lathrup (7-6-0), 505» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Hazel Park (3-7-0), 378» Home Team Advantage: +0.84 runs
» Spectacular Six (top 6 teams):
                        W  L  T                        -  -  -  1 *N Farmington      16  3  0  594  2  Lake Orion        17  6  0  590  3  Clarkston         10  6  0  588  4  Adams             10  8  0  566  5 *W Bloomfield      11  5  0  558.9  6 #Royal Oak         10  3  0  558.6OAA Division Rankings: Red (555), White (527), Blue (525), Non-OAA (493), Gold (439)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (166 Intra-OAA games with 1 tie)
» Top Team: Lake Orion (10-4 Intra-OAA; 0.99 Logit).
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Groves 18, Stoney Creek 9 (78.1% unlikely)» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 0.840 9.246 runs (1-9 runs)
Baseball This Wk Last Wk Diff.
Ave. margin
of victory
5.093 5.024 0.069
Standard
deviation
4.203 4.081 0.122
MOV + sd 9.246 9.105 0.141
MOV - sd 0.84 0.943 -0.103
Estimated std
dev
4.25 4.125 0.125
% error 1.12% 1.08% 0.04%
Standard disclaimers apply.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

May 27th, 2013, 9:01 pm #7

Report Date: May 27.
OAA Teams ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 276 total games.
» Alpha Team (best rating): Lake Orion (21-6-0), 602 rating.» Top OAA White Team: #3-North Farmington (18-3-0), 593» Top OAA Blue Team: #6-Berkley (19-8-0), 550» TOP OAA GOLD TEAM: #18-Southfield (9-5-1), 493» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Hazel Park (3-7-0), 345» Home Team Advantage: +0.89 runs
» Spectacular Six (top 6 teams):
                        W  L  T                        -  -  -  1  Lake Orion        21  6  0  602  2  Clarkston         13  6  0  596  3 *N Farmington      18  3  0  593  4  Adams             11  9  0  568  5 *W Bloomfield      12  6  0  554  6 #Berkley           19  8  0  550OAA Division Rankings: Red (562), White (530), Blue (526), Non-OAA (494), Gold (422)
Full report available at - http://oaa.timstats.net/2012-13/basebal ... mega.shtml
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (197 Intra-OAA games with 2 ties)
» Top Team: Lake Orion (12-4 Intra-OAA; 1.30 Logit).
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Groves 18, Stoney Creek 9 (78.7% unlikely)» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 2-9 runs

Baseball This Wk Last WK Diff.
Ave. margin
of victory
5.249 5.093 0.156
Standard
deviation
4.104 4.203 -0.099
MOV + sd 9.353 9.296 0.057
MOV - sd 1.145 0.89 0.255
Estimated std
dev
4.125 4.25 -0.125
% error 0.51% 1.12% -0.61%
Standard disclaimers apply.
Last edited by tsnet on May 27th, 2013, 9:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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tsnet
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tsnet
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Joined: September 3rd, 2010, 1:41 am

July 15th, 2013, 12:22 am #8

Report Date: July 14 (Final).
OAA Teams ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 276 total games.
» Alpha Team (best rating): Lake Orion (28-9-0), 612 rating.» Top OAA White Team: #2-North Farmington (25-5-0), 601» Top OAA Blue Team: #9-Berkley (19-9-0), 521.8» TOP OAA Gold Team: #14-Sfld Lathrup (11-7-0), 507.8» Omega Team (lowest rating): Hazel Park (4-8-0), 309» Home Team Advantage: +0.64 runs
» Spectacular Six (top 6 teams):
                        W  L  T                        -  -  -  1  Lake Orion        28  9  0  612  2 *N Farmington      25  5  0  601  3  Clarkston         14  7  0  573  4  Stoney Creek      19 16  1  551  5 *W Bloomfield      13  9  0  548.00  6  Adams             13 13  0  547.98OAA Division Rankings: Red (552), White (532), Blue (502), Non-OAA (500), Gold (410)
Full report available at - http://oaa.timstats.net/2012-13/basebal ... mega.shtml
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (219 Intra-OAA games with 2 ties)
» Top Team: Lake Orion (14-4 Intra-OAA; 1.25 Logit).
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Groves 18, Stoney Creek 9 (77.9% unlikely)» Average + / - 1 Standard Deviation: 2-9 runs

Baseball This Rpt Last Rpt Diff.
Ave. margin
of victory
5.160 5.249 -0.089
Standard
deviation
4.048 4.104 -0.056
MOV + sd 9.208 9.353 -0.145
MOV - sd 1.112 1.145 -0.033
Estimated std
dev
4.000 4.125 -0.125
% error 1.19% 0.51% 0.68%
Baseball
Comparison
2013 2012 2011
Margin of
victory
5.160 5.181 5.58
Standard
deviation
4.048 4.136 4.38
Standard disclaimers apply.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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