Baseball: 2011 OAA Alpha Omega Rankings

tsnet
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April 10th, 2011, 3:07 pm #1

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #1 (2011.04.10)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 38 total games (14 of 25 teams eligible).
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): BlHills Lahser (3-3), 592 Wilson Rating
» TOP OAA NORTH TEAM: #3-Lake Orion (3-1), 538
» TOP OAA CENTRAL TEAM: #1-BlHills Lahser (3-3), 592
» TOP OAA SOUTH TEAM: #6-Hazel Park (1-0), 513
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Rochester (1-2-0), 316
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1 *BlHills Lahser     3  3  592
  2 *BlHills Andover    1  1  550
  3  Lake Orion         3  1  538
  4  AHills Avondale    4  2  529
  5 *Birm Seaholm       1  0  526
  6 #Hazel Park         1  0  513
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
< http://oaa.timstats.net/2...1/baseball/oaarank.shtml >
###
Last week's missing scores:
  • 2011-04-07 11:00 AM -- Roseville @ Bl Hills Andover (dh)
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (7 Intra-OAA games with 0 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: {insufficient data this week}
» Average Margin of Victory: 5.57 runs (first report)
» Standard Deviation: 4.43 runs (first report)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 1.14 10.00 runs (2-10 runs)
4.05% relative error (currently using 4.25 as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Standard Disclaimers: Information is based on all known/confirmed scores as of this compilation.
For entertainment purposes only; all offers are not valid on days ending in 'Y'; etc.
Last edited by tsnet on May 15th, 2011, 6:48 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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tsnet
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April 17th, 2011, 1:28 pm #2

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #2 (2011.04.17)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 38 total games (14 of 25 teams eligible).
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Troy Athens (2-0), 801 Wilson Rating
» TOP OAA CENTRAL TEAM: #2-BlHills Andover (4-1), 728
» TOP OAA SOUTH TEAM: #4-Berkley (2-1), 711.61340
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Pontiac (0-3), 172
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Troy Athens        2  0  801
  2 *BlHills Andover    4  1  728
  3 *BlHills Lahser     5  4  711.61341
  4 #Berkley            2  1  711.61340
  5  Clarkston          3  1  708
  6 *Bev Hills Groves   2  1  638
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
< http://oaa.timstats.net/2...1/baseball/oaarank.shtml >
###
Last week's missing scores:
  • 2011-04-13 4:00 PM -- F Hills Harrison @ W Bloomfield [OAA Central]
  • 2011-04-15 4:30 PM -- Southfield @ Oak Park at Shepherd Park [OAA
    South]
  • 2011-04-16 11:00 AM -- Sterling Hts Parkway Chr @ Royal Oak (dh)
  • 2011-04-16 Time TBA -- W. Bloomfield @ Gibraltar Carlson Marauder
    Invite
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (32 Intra-OAA games with 0 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: April 7 -- Rochester Adams 7, Farmington 0 (30.2% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 5.75 runs (+0.18 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 3.69 runs (-0.74 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 2.06 9.44 runs (3-9 runs)
1.64% relative error (currently using 3.75 as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Standard disclaimers apply.
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2011, 12:18 pm, edited 5 times in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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tsnet
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April 24th, 2011, 3:12 pm #3

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #3 (2011.04.24)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 89 total games (14 of 25 teams eligible).
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Troy Athens (3-0), 773 Wilson Rating
» TOP OAA CENTRAL TEAM: #2-BlHills Andover (6-1), 752
» TOP OAA SOUTH TEAM: #6-Berkley (2-3), 660
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Pontiac (1-3), 223
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Troy Athens        3  0  773
  2 *BlHills Andover    6  1  752
  3 *Birm Seaholm       6  0  733
  4  Clarkston          3  1  682
  5 *BlHills Lahser     5  4  669
  6 #Berkley            2  3  660
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
< http://oaa.timstats.net/2...1/baseball/oaarank.shtml >
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (42 Intra-OAA games with 0 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: April 14 -- Berkley 7, Lahser 4 (38.8% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 5.40 runs (-0.35 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 3.91 runs (+0.22 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 1.49 9.31 runs (2-9 runs)
4.09% relative error (currently using 3.75 as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Standard disclaimers apply.
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2011, 12:19 pm, edited 3 times in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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tsnet
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May 2nd, 2011, 12:53 am #4

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #4 (2011.05.01)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 89 total games (14 of 25 teams eligible).
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Birm. Seaholm (8-1), 627
» TOP OAA NORTH TEAM: #2-Lake Orion (8-2), 606
» TOP OAA SOUTH TEAM: #7-Berkley (5-3), 567
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Pontiac (1-4), 282
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1 *Birm Seaholm       8  1  627
  2  Lake Orion         8  2  606
  3 *BlHills Andover    7  3  599
  4  Troy Athens        5  2  584
  5 *BlHills Lahser     6  4  581
  6  Clarkston          4  2  568
The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
< http://oaa.timstats.net/2...1/baseball/oaarank.shtml >
Divisional Ranking:
Central (542) > North (538) > Non-OAA (496) > OAA South (420)

###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (62 Intra-OAA games with 0 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Troy Athens 14, Andover 4 (59.9% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 5.50 runs (+0.10 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 4.02 runs (+0.11 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 1.48 9.52 runs (2-9 runs)
6.72% relative error (currently using 3.75 as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Standard disclaimers apply.
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2011, 12:21 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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tsnet
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May 9th, 2011, 6:19 pm #5

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #5 (2011.05.09)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 198 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Clarkston (11-2), 586
» TOP OAA CENTRAL TEAM: #2-Bir. Seaholm (11-3), 581
» TOP OAA SOUTH TEAM: #12-Southfield Lathrup (12-7), 538
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Park (0-4), 354
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Clarkston         11  2  586
  2 *Birm Seaholm      11  3  581
  3  Troy Athens        7  3  575
  4  RHills Stoney Crk  9  5  573
  5  Lake Orion         9  4  572
  6 *N Farmington       3  4  569

The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
< http://oaa.timstats.net/2...1/baseball/oaarank.shtml >
Divisional Ranking:
North (542) > Central (524) > Non-OAA (495) > OAA South (452)

###
Last week's missing scores:
2011-05-06 4:00 PM -- N Farmington @ W Bloomfield [OAA Central]

2011-05-06 4:30 PM -- Oak Park @ Southfield [OAA South]
2011-05-07 12 Noon -- BlHills Lahser @ South Lyon

2011-05-07 1:00 PM -- Southfield v. Detroit King at Groves Falcon Invite
(Consolation Game)

2011-05-07 TBA -- Reford Union @ W Bloomfield

2011-05-07 1:00 pm // N Farmington v ??? at Farmington Big 11
Tournament
played at N Farmington
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (104 Intra-OAA games with 0 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Pontiac 11, Berkley 5 (69.5% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 5.30 runs (-0.20 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 3.99 runs (-0.03 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 1.31 9.29 runs (2-9 runs)
0.3% relative error (currently using 4 as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Standard disclaimers apply.
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2011, 12:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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tsnet
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May 15th, 2011, 6:37 pm #6

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #6 (2011.05.15)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 234 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Lake Orion (12-4), 603
» TOP OAA CENTRAL TEAM: #5-Bir. Groves (12-5), 569
» TOP OAA SOUTH TEAM: #13-Southfield Lathrup (15-7), 530
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Park (0-5), 324
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L
                        -  -
  1  Lake Orion        12  4  603
  2  RHills Stoney Crk 11  5  594
  3  Clarkston         13  3  589
  4  Troy Athens        9  5  570
  5 *Bev Hills Groves  12  5  569
  6  Troy              10  7  568

The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
< http://oaa.timstats.net/2...1/baseball/oaarank.shtml >
Divisional Ranking:
North (555) > Central (532) > Non-OAA (494) > OAA South (432)

###
Last week's missing scores (* denotes OAA Divisional Contests):
* 2011-05-09 4:00 PM -- W Bloomfield @ FHills Harrison
[OAA Central]
* 2011-05-13 4:00 PM -- FHills Harrison @ Royal Oak [OAA Central]

* 2011-05-13 4:30 PM -- Pontiac @ Hazel Park at Green Acres Park [OAA South]

2011-05-10 4:30 pm // FHills Harrison @ Liv Clarenceville
2011-05-14 12 Noon -- SHts Parkway Ch @ BlHills Lahser

2011-05-14 Time TBA -- ROYAL OAK CHUCK JONES TOURNAMENT (Royal Oak)

2011-05-14 Time TBA -- WHITE LAKE LAKELAND TOURNAMENT (W Bloomfield)


###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (137 Intra-OAA games with 0 ties)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Pontiac 11, Berkley 5 (83.0% unlikely)
» Margin of Victory Range: 1-20 runs inclusive.
» Average Margin of Victory: 5.67 runs (+0.37 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 4.30 runs (+0.31 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 1.37 9.97 runs (2-9 runs)
1.16% relative error (currently using 4.25 as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Standard disclaimers apply.
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2011, 12:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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tsnet
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May 22nd, 2011, 9:51 pm #7

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #7 (2011.05.22)
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 283 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Lake Orion (21-4), 617
» TOP OAA CENTRAL TEAM: #4-Bir. Groves (17-5), 577
» TOP OAA SOUTH TEAM: #11-Southfield Lathrup (17-7), 538
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Park (0-8), 326
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L  T
                        -  -  -
  1  Lake Orion        21  4  0  617
  2  RHills Stoney Crk 14  6  0  595
  3  Clarkston         14  3  0  593
  4 *Bev Hills Groves  17  5  0  577
  5  Troy Athens       10  5  0  569
  6 *Birm Seaholm      14  6  0  566

The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
< http://oaa.timstats.net/2...1/baseball/oaarank.shtml >
Divisional Ranking:
North (556) > Central (532) > Non-OAA (495) > OAA South (433)

###
Last week's missing scores (* denotes OAA Divisional Contests):
2011-05-16 4:30 pm // * N Farmington @ Royal Oak [OAA
Central]

2011-05-18 4:30 pm // * Oak Park @ Hazel Park at Green Acres Park [OAA
South]

2011-05-18 4:30 pm // * FHills Harrison @ BlHills Andover at Comerica Park [OAA
Central]

2011-05-19 4:30 pm // Lincoln Park @ Southfield

2011-05-19 7:00 pm // Wrrn Lincoln @ Hazel Park at Green Acres Park

2011-05-20 4:00 pm // * Royal Oak @ W Bloomfield [OAA Central]

2011-05-20 6:00 pm // * W Bloomfield @ Royal Oak at W Bloomfield [OAA Central |
Apr 29]

2011-05-20 4:30 pm // * Southfield @ Hazel Park at Green Acres Park [OAA South
| Apr 29]

2011-05-20 6:30 pm // * Hazel Park @ Southfield at Hazel Park Green Acres Park
[OAA South | May 16]

2011-05-21 10:00 am // Clarkston v. TBD at Clarkston Manuel
Memorial
[from May 14]

2011-05-21 10:00 am // Plymouth Canton Schools Tournament

»» 1:00 pm // N Farmington @ Salem [game 2]
###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (167 Intra-OAA games with 1 tie)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Pontiac 11, Berkley 5 (80.9% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 5.54 runs (-0.13 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 4.39 runs (+0.09 from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 1.15 9.93 runs (2-9 runs)
3.19% relative error (currently using 4.25 as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Standard disclaimers apply.
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2011, 12:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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May 30th, 2011, 12:40 pm #8

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Report #8 (2011.05.30)
Final Regular Season Report
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 321 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Stoney Creek (17-6), 611
» TOP OAA CENTRAL TEAM: #3-Bir. Groves (22-6), 576
» TOP OAA SOUTH TEAM: #10-Southfield Lathrup (19-7), 545
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Park (0-9), 335
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L  T
                        -  -  -
  1  RHills Stoney Crk 17  6  0  611
  2  Lake Orion        24  6  0  608
  3 *Bev Hills Groves  22  6  0  576
  4  Clarkston         14  6  0  572
  5  AHills Avondale   14 10  0  559
  6  Troy Athens       10  7  0  556

The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
< http://oaa.timstats.net/2...1/baseball/oaarank.shtml >
Divisional Ranking:
North (557) > Central (519) > Non-OAA (496) > OAA South (441)

###
Last week's missing scores (* denotes OAA Divisional Contests):
011-05-24 4:30 pm // Hamtramck @ Hazel Park

2011-05-26 4:00 pm // * FHills Harrison @ BlHills Lahser [OAA Central | May
25]

2011-05-28 11:00 am // Walled Lk Western @ FHills Harrison (dh) [from Apr 16]

2011-05-28 10:30 am // Troy Athens v. TBD
at Blue Water Classic

2011-05-28 11:00 am // Southfield Lathrup v. TBD at Southfield-Lathrup
3-Way


2011-05-28 time TBA // N Farmington v. TBD
at Eastern Michigan Univ. Tournament

2011-05-28 time TBA // Stoney Creek v. TBD at Wyandotte Roosevelt
Tournament

###
This Week's FACT Rating Details. (185 Intra-OAA games with 1 tie)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Pontiac 11, Berkley 5 (81.0% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 5.55 runs (+0.01 from last week)
» Standard Deviation: 4.39 runs (unchanged from last week)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 1.16 9.94 runs (2-9 runs)
2.51% relative error (currently using 4.50 as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Standard disclaimers apply.
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2011, 12:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
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tsnet
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July 4th, 2011, 3:43 pm #9

OAA Alpha-Omega Ranking - Final 2011 Report
OAA Teams as ranked by the Wilson Performance Ratings for 402 total games.
» ALPHA TEAM (best rating): Stoney Creek (19-7), 620
» TOP OAA CENTRAL TEAM: #4-Bir. Groves (23-7), 575
» TOP OAA SOUTH TEAM: #13-Southfield Lathrup (20-8), 523
» OMEGA TEAM (lowest rating): Oak Park (0-10), 301
» SPECTACULAR SIX (top 6 teams):
                        W  L  T
                        -  -  -
  1  RHills Stoney Crk 19  7  0  620
  2  Clarkston         21  8  0  611
  3  Lake Orion        25  7  0  609
  4 *Bev Hills Groves  23  7  0  575
  5  AHills Avondale   16 11  0  573
  6  Troy Athens       12 11  0  567

The full ranked list of OAA teams is available at
< http://oaa.timstats.net/2...1/baseball/oaarank.shtml >
Divisional Ranking:
North (570) > Central (518) > Non-OAA (497) > OAA South (421)

###
Final FACT Rating Details. (207 Intra-OAA games with 1 tie)
» Least Likely Intra-OAA Result: Pontiac 11, Berkley 5 (84.9% unlikely)
» Average Margin of Victory: 5.58 runs (+0.03 from last report)
» Standard Deviation: 4.38 runs (-0.01 from last report)
» Average + and - 1 Standard Deviation: 1.20 9.96 runs (2-9 runs)
2.81% relative error (currently using 4.50 as the assumed standard deviation)
###
Standard disclaimers apply.
Last edited by tsnet on July 4th, 2011, 4:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Co-webmaster, OAA football -- http://leaguelineup.com/oaa
OAA Football Scores & Ratings -- http://oaafootball.timstats.net
Twitter @TimsSports
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