The best early bets for college football’s Week 3

Joined: September 4th, 2012, 1:50 pm

September 10th, 2018, 5:27 am #1

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The best early bets for college football’s Week 3, including Ohio State


All wagers at -110 odds and for 1 unit unless otherwise noted. My picks are in bold, with that team’s spread attached. Visit Odds Shark for updated lines throughout each game week.

Season record: 14-14 (50%) ($-125)

In Week 2, I went 11-5 ($555), in a solid bounce back.

I often tell readers of my college football gambling column that the best bets can be found in the opening lines on Sunday afternoons. 

Of course, if you’re trying to bet thousands of dollars on each game, the low limits (typically $250-500 max bets per game) early in the week can be a hindrance, but I’m figuring most of my readership is playing $100 per game or less. 

So bolded here are my early hits from the Sunday before Week 3. I’ll update the other plays come Friday, per usual.

Thursday

I already have a play on Boston College +1.5 at Wake Forest (see below) from the summer .
Friday

Georgia State at Memphis -22.5

Memphis out-gained Navy on a per-play basis and probably deserved to win a game it lost. My spread for this game would be 26. 


Saturday


TCU vs. Ohio State -12 (in Arlington): 

I am not convinced that TCU can hold up along the lines of scrimmage. And I believe that this will be a neutral crowd. 

Old Dominion (-3) at Charlotte: I was on both of these teams over the weekend, successfully. But I believe ODU to be the better team. The potential for hurricane-type conditions is scary here. 

Miami at Toledo +11: 

Toledo is a strong MAC team, and this is a lot of points to lay on the road for a Miami team that did not have its act together offensively in the opening week. 

Florida State -2.5 at Syracuse: 

FSU’s offense has been a disappointment. But so has Syracuse’s defense, which gave up 9.4 yards/play to WMU. 

Georgia Tech at Pitt+3 (+100):

 The Yellow Jackets moved the ball well on Saturday against USF. But they also sustained a ton of injuries.
UMass +4.5 at Florida International: FIU is 2-0 against the spread, despite arguably not deserving to cover either game.
 
Boise State +3.5 at Oklahoma State: 

Boise has already gone on the road and passed a tough test when it crushed Troy in Week 1. QB Brett Rypien is someone I can trust.



Ongoing futures and prop bets 

Before the season started, I made 26 futures or prop bets, which I published between May and August. My current record on these is 0-0, with a profit of $0. 

Wins

None yet.

Losses

None yet. 

Up in the air
  • Washington to win the national championship (+2400)
  • Washington over 8.5 wins (-200)
  • Michigan State over 7.5 wins (-155)
  • Stanford under 9.5 wins (-170)
  • Tennessee under 6.5 wins (-160)
  • Virginia over 5 wins (-110)
  • Boston College over 5.5 wins (-110)
  • Oregon over 8.5 (-120)
  • Northwestern under 6 (+100)
  • Florida State over 7.5 wins (-110)
  • UCLA under 5.5 wins (-115)
  • Washington State under 6.5 wins (-110)
  • Pittsburgh under 5.5 wins (+100)
  • Virginia Tech under 8.5 wins (-110)
  • Boston College +1.5 at Wake Forest (Futures line)
  • Florida at Mississippi State -3 (Futures line)
  • Alabama at Ole Miss +22.5 (Futures line)
  • Wisconsin at Michigan -3 (Futures line)
  • N.C. State +19.5 at Clemson (Futures line)
  • USC to win the Pac-12 (+485)
  • NC State to win ACC (+6000)
  • Georgia Tech to win ACC (+6000)
  • Clemson to make the Playoff (-130)
  • Alabama to not make the Playoff (+280)
  • Oklahoma to make the Playoff (+425)
  • Notre Dame to make the Playoff (+600)


https://www.sbnation.com/college-footba ... lsu-auburn
Alabama: Heart of the South
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Joined: October 3rd, 2013, 4:59 pm

September 10th, 2018, 5:41 am #2

I would pick Tennessee under 6.5 all day every day including Sunday.  I just can not see more than 6 wins on our schedule.
Being a Vol fan is great except for a few Saturdays in the fall.
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Joined: September 4th, 2012, 1:50 pm

September 10th, 2018, 5:51 am #3

DocVOLiday wrote: I would pick Tennessee under 6.5 all day every day including Sunday.  I just can not see more than 6 wins on our schedule.
I only see 4 maybe 5 wins for Tennessee …. hopefully they will surprise and win a few games they weren't expected to win … 
Alabama: Heart of the South
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Joined: September 4th, 2012, 1:50 pm

September 10th, 2018, 6:17 am #4

TCU vs. Ohio State -12 (in Arlington): 

I am not convinced that TCU can hold up along the lines of scrimmage. And I believe that this will be a neutral crowd. "

we should find out how good Ohio State really is on Saturday ….. 
Alabama: Heart of the South
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