ESPN FPI projected wins is out

ESPN FPI projected wins is out

Joined: October 3rd, 2013, 4:59 pm

April 12th, 2018, 10:24 am #1

http://www.espn.com/college-football/st ... eamratings

Here are the teams we care about followed by predicted wins:
Clemson 11.4
Georgia 10.9
OSU 10.3
Miss St 8.3
Florida 8.1
Ole Miss 6.3
Tennessee 5.8
BYU 4.7

Others that caught my attention:
Bama 10.8
ND 10
Auburn 9.1
Michigan 8.6
Texas 8.6
FSU 7.3

This may seem like Hogwash but these things are usually fairly predictive.  Here is last years preseason FPI http://www.espn.com/blog/statsinfo/post ... on-fpi-1-0 and it is not too bad considering how the season ended.  Other than underestimating UGA's success (nobody predicted that) and overestimating Tennessee and Florida the rest are fairly close to where they ended.  
"Gentlemen, touchdowns follow blocking as sure night follows day" -Gen Neyland
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Joined: August 10th, 2017, 5:39 am

April 12th, 2018, 3:38 pm #2

I'm surprised they have OSU with 2 losses.
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Joined: September 4th, 2012, 11:23 am

April 13th, 2018, 3:01 am #3

Is this the year someone goes 15-0?
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Joined: October 3rd, 2013, 4:59 pm

April 13th, 2018, 4:15 am #4

brown dog wrote: I'm surprised they have OSU with 2 losses.
People are starting to buy in on Penn State.  Believe it or not the Combine may have helped Franklin more than anything.   Their athletes killed it.  Men among boys sort of thing.   Here is just one article describing what I am talking about it but there are numerous others:  https://247sports.com/college/penn-stat ... -115870053.   I don't know how he is doing it but Franklin is pulling in the type of athletes programs like Florida used to get.  
"Gentlemen, touchdowns follow blocking as sure night follows day" -Gen Neyland
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Joined: September 4th, 2012, 11:23 am

April 13th, 2018, 4:17 am #5

Franklin is one hell of a recruiter and he will have a tremendous returning QB in McSorley
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Joined: August 10th, 2017, 5:39 am

April 13th, 2018, 5:13 am #6

I still think Franklin is a jack ass
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Joined: August 10th, 2017, 5:39 am

April 13th, 2018, 5:14 am #7

I thought OSU was rebuilding last year, and this year they were loaded.  Maybe the Big10 is loaded.
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Joined: August 10th, 2017, 5:39 am

April 13th, 2018, 5:28 am #8

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Joined: August 10th, 2017, 5:39 am

April 13th, 2018, 5:30 am #9

WV at 40/1 fan

Worst bet on there is Washington at 20/1 because they have zero chance of winning a 2 game play off.
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Joined: September 4th, 2012, 1:50 pm

April 13th, 2018, 6:15 am #10

Ohio State will be better this season, then they were last season ...


Ohio State football schedule 

DATE OPPONENT RESULT/TIME RECORD/TICKETS
Sat, Sept 1
  • vs
  • Oregon State
TBD 980 available from $138
Sat, Sept 8
  • vs
  • Rutgers
TBD 1,057 available from $101
Sat, Sept 15
  • vs
  • TCU*
TBD 664 available from $176
Sat, Sept 22
  • vs
  • Tulane
TBD 1,024 available from $93
Sat, Sept 29
  • @
  • Penn State
TBD 2,351 available from $191
Sat, Oct 6
  • vs
  • Indiana
TBD 977 available from $117
Sat, Oct 13
  • vs
  • Minnesota
TBD 1,002 available from $124
Sat, Oct 20
  • @
  • Purdue
TBD 383 available from $68
Sat, Nov 3
  • vs
  • Nebraska
TBD 1,001 available from $165
Sat, Nov 10
  • @
  • Michigan State
TBD 2,203 available from $89
Sat, Nov 17
  • @
  • Maryland
TBD 1,009 available from $79
Sat, Nov 24
  • vs
  • Michigan
Alabama: Heart of the South
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Joined: September 4th, 2012, 1:50 pm

April 13th, 2018, 6:18 am #11

I am hard pressed to see two definite losses ...

TCU and Penn State are maybe's ... but I really believe the Buckeyes will beat both of them.

Ohio State is going to crush Michigan this year ... and Harbaugh will be gone ..

It is not that big of a stretch to think that Ohio will go undefeated during the regular season ..
Alabama: Heart of the South
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Joined: October 3rd, 2013, 4:59 pm

April 13th, 2018, 6:24 am #12

It is not that big of a stretch to think that Ohio will go undefeated during the regular season ..
It really is not a stretch at all.  Do you think they will have a chip on their shoulder this season after getting left out of the playoffs last season?  
"Gentlemen, touchdowns follow blocking as sure night follows day" -Gen Neyland
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Joined: September 4th, 2012, 11:23 am

April 14th, 2018, 1:57 am #13

This is one of those situations where I want to see Urban Meyer take a team of his players and win at a level he should

It seems every year we sit there wondering if they are a playoff team and someone is making a case for them but they never take care of their regular season business. They’ve been better and far more talented than every team on their schedule since Urban arrived. Now you have Michigan and Penn State recruiting at a high level and closing the gap.

It seems they’re going to be better next year every year. No doubt they have the talent but can Urban take a roster of guys he’s developed and reach the talents potential?

No excuse for them to lose more than 1 game on that schedule. I’d consider 10 wins the floor
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Joined: August 10th, 2017, 5:39 am

April 14th, 2018, 10:27 am #14

nmerritt11 wrote: This is one of those situations where I want to see Urban Meyer take a team of his players and win at a level he should

OSU has the 2nd best talent and the gap between them and the rest of their schedule is pretty big.  I know PSU and UofM have been recruiting better, but it's still a big gap.
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Joined: August 10th, 2017, 5:39 am

April 14th, 2018, 10:31 am #15

btw, 2014 wasn't that long ago.  So, maybe we're being too hard on Meyer.
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Joined: October 3rd, 2013, 4:59 pm

April 14th, 2018, 12:11 pm #16

OSU has to figure out who their qb is first. Here is an excerpt from B/R on today’s spring game performance by the potential Barrett replacements:

The competition to replace J.T. Barrett at quarterback took center stage, and all three candidates acquitted themselves well in appearing for both teams.
Joe Burrow led the way with 238 yards and two touchdowns on 15-of-22 passing, while Dwayne Haskins threw for 120 yards and two scores on 9-of-19 passing.
Tate Martell had the toughest day from a passing perspective, as he completed just five of his 16 attempts for 28 yards and one interception, but he did plenty of damage with his legs in rushing for 69 yards and one touchdown.
"Gentlemen, touchdowns follow blocking as sure night follows day" -Gen Neyland
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Joined: October 3rd, 2013, 4:59 pm

April 16th, 2018, 4:40 am #17

I am bumping this thread only because I would like to know from some of the Buckeye fans what they think about their qbs.  
"Gentlemen, touchdowns follow blocking as sure night follows day" -Gen Neyland
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Joined: December 28th, 2012, 3:23 pm

April 16th, 2018, 9:55 am #18

DocVOLiday wrote: http://www.espn.com/college-football/st ... eamratings

Here are the teams we care about followed by predicted wins:
Clemson 11.4
Georgia 10.9
OSU 10.3
Miss St 8.3
Florida 8.1
Ole Miss 6.3
Tennessee 5.8
BYU 4.7

Others that caught my attention:
Bama 10.8
ND 10
Auburn 9.1
Michigan 8.6
Texas 8.6
FSU 7.3

This may seem like Hogwash but these things are usually fairly predictive.  Here is last years preseason FPI http://www.espn.com/blog/statsinfo/post ... on-fpi-1-0 and it is not too bad considering how the season ended.  Other than underestimating UGA's success (nobody predicted that) and overestimating Tennessee and Florida the rest are fairly close to where they ended.  
 

I am hoping 8.3 wins for Mississippi State is a tad low... State's D-Line is loaded with NFL talent.  The only O-lineman they lost was the star Left tackle who is expected to go in 1st 3 rounds of draft.  He missed a lot of last season due to injury.  A Soph came in and played pretty darn well in his place.  The Offensive and Defensive lines both should be a strength this year and be as good as anyone's group.  O-line won't be as deep but I said that last year and they had guys step up when others went down.

SDS predicted State to go 11-1 with it's only loss to Alabama.  I don't see them that good, but I also don't see any less than 9 wins this year.  We do have a brand new Coaching staff but I really am liking what I see and hear from this group.

I see a bright future... State has 9 commits, all of which look to be legit SEC players.  That hasn't always been the case.

I am hopeful to take the next step with Joe Moorehead and Co., especially in recruiting.  You can't win big without the best players.

Mississippi has tons of talent in it but most of it has had horrible coaching.   That is the one thing that Dan Mullen was able to do better than most, he could evaluate talent when he saw it even in it's most raw state.  A lot of his recruiting was done during Big Dawg Camp for high school players.  Many of us felt as if he could have done better but one thing is for sure, they seem to be set up to win right now.
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Joined: October 3rd, 2013, 4:59 pm

April 16th, 2018, 11:33 am #19

I have to imagine Ole Miss' current travails are benefiting State.  We all know there is talent in Mississippi and for now State is really there only in state option for a few years.  
"Gentlemen, touchdowns follow blocking as sure night follows day" -Gen Neyland
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Joined: August 10th, 2017, 5:39 am

April 17th, 2018, 5:11 am #20



click through and then click the image to see all of the SEC schools
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Joined: December 28th, 2012, 3:23 pm

April 17th, 2018, 2:20 pm #21

DocVOLiday wrote: I have to imagine Ole Miss' current travails are benefiting State.  We all know there is talent in Mississippi and for now State is really there only in state option for a few years.  
That should have helped more last year, not this year.  They are back out there recruiting in full force, with lots of playing time to offer. 

Mullen seemed to always get more Mississippi players than Ole Miss, they just recruited nationally better.

Whoever is recruiting the State of MS has to realize most of these schools do a horrible job of preparing them for college, both on and off the field.  You absolutely have to have a support system in place for a large % of the kids.
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