A Las Vegas "odds maker" opines on why Obama will get "killed" by Romney in Nov

A Las Vegas "odds maker" opines on why Obama will get "killed" by Romney in Nov

hop
hop

July 3rd, 2012, 1:56 pm #1

on't know if this is right or not but makes sense to me.......sure hope
it's right.


A Las Vegas "odds maker" opines on why Obama will get "killed" by Romney
in November. Interesting analysis and only a minute or so to read.


Wayne Allyn Root


Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or
prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I am
neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known
Vegas odds maker with one of the most accurate records of predicting
political races.

But as an oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking
political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as
I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years Predictions. I
predicted back then- before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romney
trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to
Herman Cain to Newt- that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the
GOP nomination by a landslide. I also predicted that the Presidential race
between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But that on
election day Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in
1980.

Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding
Romney victory. 32 years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9
points to Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do most
pollsters give Obama the edge?

First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my
gut instinct. Not one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will
switch to Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted
for an unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or
scared about the future. Voters know Obama now- and that is a bad
harbinger.

Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S. Politics:
*Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His
endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going Christians.
He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008. This is not
good news for Obama.

*Hispanic voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. If
Romney picks Rubio as his VP running-mate the GOP may pick up an extra 10% to
15% of Hispanic voters (plus lock down Florida). This is not good news
for Obama.

*Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many Jewish
voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama's Jewish
support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60’s. This is not good news for
Obama.

*Youth voters. Obama’s biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4
years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are
disillusioned, frightened, and broke- a bad combination. The enthusiasm is long
gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual voting
percentages. This not good news for Obama.

*Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won’t
happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with the
Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic
Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.

*Small Business owners.Because I ran for Vice President last time around,
and I'm a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of small
business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans and
supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to “give someone different a chance.” I
warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and demonize anyone
who owned a business...that he’d support unions over the private sector in a
big way...that he'd overwhelm the economy with spending and debt. My
friends didn’t listen. Four years later, I can't find one person in my circle of
small business owner friends voting for Obama. Not one. This is not good
news for Obama.

*Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White working
class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans feel
about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.

*Suburban moms. The issue isn’t contraception…it’s having a job to pay
for contraception. Obama’s economy frightens these moms. They are worried
about putting food on the table. They fear for their children’s future. This
is not good news for Obama.

*Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is winning
by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the more they
disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.
Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008?
Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying “I didn’t vote for
Obama 4 years ago. But he’s done such a fantastic job, I can’t wait to vote
for him today.” Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more
secure?
Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas oddsmaker and common sense
small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a
world-class repudiation of Obama’s radical and risky socialist agenda. It's
Reagan-Carter all over again.

But I’ll give Obama credit for one thing- he is living proof that
familiarity breeds contempt.




___________________________________
Do right because it IS right, and NOT
because you are afraid to do wrong!
***********************************



Quote
Share

Joined: April 28th, 2010, 1:30 pm

July 3rd, 2012, 7:27 pm #2

Obama would be cast into the garbage where he belongs on Nov 6/12.

Hey hop I like your new signature.

Do right because it IS right, and NOT
because you are afraid to do wrong!
*************************************

I agree with that 100%

He who has an ear, let him hear what the Spirit says,~~~~Jesus Christ"
Quote
Like
Share

Arthur Dent
Arthur Dent

July 3rd, 2012, 11:56 pm #3

In what you do as well as what you say.

Jesus, in everything he said and did was not on your wavelength, he was trying to improve his fellow mans condition, not judge them. That is fabled to come after.

You have failed in all his benchmarks, and yet still you judge people to be less than you.

Jesus was obviously not a god, but he was a compassionate man. You could be a little bit more christ like you know, a bit more
like me, perhaps?
Quote
Share

Joined: April 28th, 2010, 1:30 pm

July 4th, 2012, 12:06 pm #4

I'm not afraid to do right and be a winner

He who has an ear, let him hear what the Spirit says,~~~~Jesus Christ"
Quote
Like
Share